- Alabama State (8-17) are -2.5 point favorites vs Mississippi Valley State (3-23)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
The Alabama State Hornets (8-17) visit Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-23) on Feb. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Itta Bena.
Alabama State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Alabama State | -2.5 -105 | O 136.5 -110 | -135 |
Mississippi Valley State | +2.5 -115 | U 136.5 -110 | +110 |
Alabama State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama State will win this game with 53.6% confidence.
Alabama State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama State and Mississippi Valley State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Alabama State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alabama State have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Alabama State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alabama State has gone 14-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.05 Units / 11.6% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -13.98% ROI
- 7-16 when betting the Over for -10.55 Units / -40.04% ROI
- 16-7 when betting the Under for +8.3 Units / 31.38% ROI
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi Valley State has gone 17-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI).
- 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -7.88% ROI
- 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI
Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State has an eFG% of 42% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Alabama State is shooting 37% (492/1,328) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Alabama State is shooting 42% from inside the arc (241/579) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Alabama State has a TS% of 41% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 57.9 points per game (1,332 points/23 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 9.0 assists per game (206 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Mississippi Valley State has a TS% of 41% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 43%
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (206 assists/ 361 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (122 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Alabama State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (344 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Alabama State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Alabama State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 7.8 steals per game (179 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,060 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
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