Alabama State vs Southern University Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 12:03 PM
  • Southern University (14-15) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Alabama State (8-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points

The Alabama State Hornets (8-21) visit F. G. Clark Center to take on the Southern University Jaguars (14-15) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Baton Rouge.

Southern University is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Alabama State vs. Southern University Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. Southern University Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama State+9.5 -105O 140.5 -110+400
Southern University -9.5 -115U 140.5 -110-550

Alabama State vs Southern University Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama State will win this game with 69.4% confidence.

Alabama State vs Southern University Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern University will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama State and Southern University, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 20 away games (+1.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Southern have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+3.10 Units / 10% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has gone 14-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -32.89% ROI
  • 8-19 when betting the Over for -12.85 Units / -41.79% ROI
  • 19-8 when betting the Under for +10.2 Units / 33.06% ROI

Southern University Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern University has gone 16-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -14.95% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has a TS% of 41% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State is shooting 37% (492/1,328) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State has an eFG% of 42% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State is shooting 42% from inside the arc (241/579) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Southern University Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern University has averaged 14.4 assists per game (762 assists/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Southern University has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (762 assists/ 746 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.8

Southern University has 762 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SWAC Teams

Southern University has a TS% of 48% this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (122 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Alabama State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alabama State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alabama State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (344 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Southern University Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern University has 522 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SWAC Teams

Southern University has averaged 9.8 steals per game (522 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Southern University has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Southern University has averaged 8.9 steals per game (196 steals/22 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.