Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:53 AM
  • Alcorn State (16-12) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State (5-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points

The Alcorn State Braves (16-12) visit Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (5-25) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Itta Bena.

Alcorn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alcorn State-5.5 -110O 140.5 -115-250
Mississippi Valley State +5.5 -110U 140.5 -105+200

Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alcorn State will win this game with 62.1% confidence.

Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi Valley State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alcorn State and Mississippi Valley State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alcorn State has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games (+22.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+5.40 Units / 68% ROI)

Alcorn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alcorn State has gone 13-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 23.2% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has gone 20-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.63% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.28% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.59% ROI

Alcorn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (3,650 points/3,234 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Alcorn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (194 assists/ 272 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Alcorn State is shooting 41% (1,309/3,234) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alcorn State has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has made 4.3 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 57.9 points per game (1,332 points/23 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (206 assists/ 361 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 9.0 assists per game (206 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Alcorn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (434 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alcorn State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,221 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alcorn State has averaged 7.8 steals per game (164 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Alcorn State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (417 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 7.8 steals per game (179 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,060 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has 179 steals this season — 4th most among SWAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.