- Alcorn State is a -18.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
- Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
- Alcorn State / Mississippi Valley State TV channel: ESPN+
The Alcorn State Braves visit R.W. Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Itta Bena, MS, USA.
Alcorn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-120).
The Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 127.5 total points.
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Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alcorn State | -18.5 -120 | O 127.5 -115 | -3000 |
| Mississippi Valley State | +18.5 +100 | U 127.5 -105 | +1250 |
Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Alcorn State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alcorn State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Alcorn State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alcorn State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alcorn State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alcorn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.40 Units / 90% ROI)
- Alcorn State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alcorn State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games at home (+5.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Alcorn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alcorn State has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.15 Units / 23.25% ROI).
- 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -21.43% ROI
- 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi Valley State has a 10-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.8 Units / -29.53% ROI).
- 1-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -72.96% ROI
- 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -22.13% ROI
- 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.85 Units / 12.92% ROI
Alcorn State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alcorn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (297 assists/ 360 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Alcorn State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (1,884 points/1,664 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
Alcorn State has an eFG% of 45% this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 48%
Alcorn State made 5.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 53.5 points per game (1,552 points/29 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.7
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (233 assists/ 458 TOs) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 54.5 points per game (3,104 points/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.7
Alcorn State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alcorn State has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (615 rebounds/29 games) this season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3
Alcorn State allowed 9.6 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4
Alcorn State allowed 9.6 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Alcorn State averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (694 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (535 rebounds/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.54 points per shot (648 points/420 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.30
Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 54% (227/420) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%
Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.57 points per shot (1,116 points/712 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.29
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