Appalachian State vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:21 AM
  • South Alabama (16-15) is a South Alabama -4.5 point favorite vs Appalachian State (16-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (16-15) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (16-15) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Pensacola.

South Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Appalachian State vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State+4.5 -105O 129.5 -110+165
South Alabama -4.5 -115U 129.5 -110-200

Appalachian State vs South Alabama Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 60.4% confidence.

Appalachian State vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+23.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+14.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)

Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Appalachian State has gone 14-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.92% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 12-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -17.77% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Appalachian State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (747 assists/ 594 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Appalachian State has averaged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Appalachian State has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (146 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has 11.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 18.0

South Alabama has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7

South Alabama has 11.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (612 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Appalachian State has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,430 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Appalachian State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (361 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Appalachian State has allowed 64.3 points per game (1,543 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 67.1

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.1 steals per game (140 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (370 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has forced 10.9 turnovers per game (251 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (580/1,348) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.