Appalachian State vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

• Texas State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Appalachian State
• Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
• Appalachian State / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Appalachian State Mountaineers visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Marcos, TX.

Texas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Appalachian State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Appalachian State vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this college basketball game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Appalachian State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.

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Appalachian State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.75 Units / 61% ROI)
• Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• Appalachian State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Texas State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Appalachian State has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI).

• 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 7.07% ROI
• 11-17 when betting the Over for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI
• 17-11 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI).

• 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 7.52% ROI
• 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
• 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (1,192/1,813) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 71%

Appalachian State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (789/1,216) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72%

Appalachian State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (403/623) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Appalachian State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (1,192/1,813) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Texas State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (2,149 points/2,082 shots) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Appalachian State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (812/2,082) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Appalachian State allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (2,149 points/2,082 shots) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Appalachian State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (6,005 points/5,621 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has forced 12.8 turnovers per game (372 turnovers/29 games) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.0

Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State forced 12.4 turnovers per game (421 turnovers/34 games) last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

Texas State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (254 steals/29 games) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

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