Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

Alabama head coach Nate Oats calls to his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Rutgers Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
(AP Photo/David Becker)
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  • Alabama is a -4.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 183.5 points
  • Arkansas / Alabama TV channel: ESPN

The Arkansas Razorbacks visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Arkansas vs. Alabama Over/Under is 183.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+4.5 -115O 183.5 -105+154
Alabama -4.5 -105U 183.5 -115-190

Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 68.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+7.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 17-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.2 Units / 29.76% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 0.58% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (430 assists/ 230 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (216 assists/ 98 TOs) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.5

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Alabama has made 708 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 12.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.4

Alabama has made 11.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (206/692) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has allowed 46.0 points per game (1,151 points/25 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 40.0

Alabama has allowed 87.4 points per game (3,146 points/36 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 77.7

Alabama has allowed 81.8 points per game (5,074 points/62 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73.7

Alabama has allowed 43.7 points per game (4,195 points/96 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.