Arkansas vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 11:20 AM
  • Kansas (28-7) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (21-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Arkansas Razorbacks (21-13) visit Wells Fargo Arena to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (28-7) on Mar. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 5:15pm EDT in Des Moines.

Kansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Kansas Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+3.5 -110O 143.5 -110+145
Kansas -3.5 -110U 143.5 -110-175

Arkansas vs Kansas Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas will win this March Madness game with 57.3% confidence.

Arkansas vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Kansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+18.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+14.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 49 games (+26.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 47 games (+25.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has gone 16-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.44% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -18.45% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 9.63% ROI

Kansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas has gone 17-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / -7.27% ROI).

  • 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 21.45% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -7.27% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas is shooting 25% from three (44/174) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has 22.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.1

Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (139 assists/ 165 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas averaged 14.3 points per game (258 points/18 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Kansas made 109 field goals in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas shot 43% from three (49/113) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kansas had a TS% of 56% in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,589 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Arkansas has 192 steals this season — 4th most among SEC Teams

Arkansas has 473 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among SEC Teams

Arkansas has averaged 8.7 steals per game (192 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed an average of 0.58 points per shot (42 points/73 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 34% (74/218) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.