Arkansas vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Kentucky is a -10.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Arkansas / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN

The Arkansas Razorbacks visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lexington, KY, USA.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-118).

The Arkansas vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+10.5 -102O 156.5 -115+475
Kentucky -10.5 -118U 156.5 -105-650

Arkansas vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.72 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+1.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 6-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.2 Units / -37.53% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 0.86% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.26% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.25 Units / 23.81% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -5.22% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 1.59% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (893 assists/ 532 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Kentucky averaged 30% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (583 free throw attempts/1,943 field goal attempts) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has averaged 6.4 steals per game (212 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Arkansas has averaged 6.6 steals per game (336 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 29.6 defensive rebounds per game (591 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,517 points/1,294 shots) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (167/580) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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