- Arkansas is a -6.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
- Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
- Arkansas / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPN2
The Arkansas Razorbacks visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00 pm in Starkville, MS.
Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-102).
The Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 164.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas | -6.5 -102 | O 164.5 -105 | -250 |
| Mississippi State | +6.5 -118 | U 164.5 -115 | +200 |
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 65.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+14.80 Units / 1% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.44% ROI).
- 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 8-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.3 Units / -30.35% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.07% ROI
- 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (379 assists/ 208 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (189 assists/ 89 TOs) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 1.27 points per shot (2,710 points/2,139 shots) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.39
Mississippi State has averaged 1.11 points per shot (792 points/711 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28
Mississippi State has averaged 1.23 points per shot (1,712 points/1,393 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.37
Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (779/1,139) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33
Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (815 points/740 shots) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.14
Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (65/244) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (118 turnovers/14 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 10.9
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