Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff is a -11.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff / Mississippi Valley State TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions visit R.W. Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Itta Bena, MS.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas-Pine Bluff-11.5 -105O 143.5 -110-750
Mississippi Valley State +11.5 -115U 143.5 -110+525

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas-Pine Bluff will win this college basketball game with 72.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas-Pine Bluff will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 29 games (+18.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 18 away games (+12.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 18 away games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 11 games at home (+3.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 20.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Over for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 0-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff made 325 three-pointers last season — most among SWAC Teams

Arkansas-Pine Bluff averaged 80.9 points per game (2,345 points/29 games) last season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Arkansas-Pine Bluff made 11.2 three-pointers per game last season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 15.5 assists per game (310 assists/20 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 56.9 points per game (4,499 points/79 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Mississippi Valley State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (258 assists/ 482 TOs) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (502 assists/ 789 TOs) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (169/419) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has allowed an average of 1.57 points per shot (1,035 points/659 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.31

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (6,709 points/4,997 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has allowed opponents to shoot 54% (356/659) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.58 points per shot (1,619 points/1,022 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.30

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (198/523) this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.62 points per shot (503 points/310 shots) this season — tied for highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.34

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (198/482) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%


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