Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

min read
College Basketball Betting Previews
(Shutterstock/Melinda Nagy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2023, 10:29 AM
  • Georgia Southern (13-13) are -6.5 point favorites vs Arkansas State (10-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-16) visit W.S. Hanner Fieldhouse to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (13-13) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Statesboro.

Georgia Southern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State+6.5 -110O 128.5 -110+220
Georgia Southern -6.5 -110U 128.5 -110-275

Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this game with 65.2% confidence.

Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas State and Georgia Southern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+15.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has gone 8-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -17.61% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

Georgia Southern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia Southern has gone 11-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -8.78% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -8.5% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,561 points/24 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Arkansas State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,561 points/1,334 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Arkansas State has a TS% of 45% this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Arkansas State has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,561 points/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia Southern has averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (261 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Georgia Southern has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (586 assists/ 667 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Georgia Southern has averaged 10.0 assists per game (239 assists/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Georgia Southern is shooting 30% from three (313/1,036) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Arkansas State has 392 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,289/2,969) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Arkansas State has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 13.0

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia Southern has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Georgia Southern has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (1,612 points/1,333 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.18

Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (168/494) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (575/1,333) this season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%


Bet now on Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.