Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2023, 11:45 AM
  • Louisiana-Monroe (11-19) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (11-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-19) visit Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (11-19) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Monroe.

Louisiana-Monroe is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State+4.5 -105O 130.5 -110+170
Louisiana-Monroe -4.5 -115U 130.5 -110-210

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisiana-Monroe will win this game with 62.1% confidence.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana-Monroe will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 48 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has gone 11-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -20.25% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI

Louisiana-Monroe Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana-Monroe has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI).

  • 8-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 20.26% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has a TS% of 45% this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Arkansas State has an eFG% of 48% this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Arkansas State is shooting 43% (573/1,334) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Arkansas State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Louisiana-Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 36% from three (185/509) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 43% (595/1,392) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%

Louisiana-Monroe is shooting 43% (595/1,392) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Arkansas State has 392 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (567/1,284) this season — 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,289/2,969) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Louisiana-Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,229 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (539 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Louisiana-Monroe has 183 steals this season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has 183 steals this season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.