Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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  • Arkansas State is a -16.5 point favorite vs Louisiana-Monroe
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Louisiana-Monroe TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Monroe, LA, LA, USA.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State-16.5 -110O 149.5 -105-2000
Louisiana-Monroe +16.5 -110U 149.5 -115+950

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+15.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+9.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.79 Units / 26% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 12.21% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 6.2% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21.04% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.75 Units / 11.74% ROI

Louisiana-Monroe Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana-Monroe has a 10-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.8 Units / -31.77% ROI).

  • 5-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -13.81% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -11.22% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Arkansas State is shooting 42% (777/1,838) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (939 assists/ 703 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Louisiana-Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe shot 30% from three (152/513) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana-Monroe had a TS% of 43% last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana-Monroe had a TS% of 43% last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana-Monroe shot 30% from three (152/513) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (778 rebounds/29 games) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Arkansas State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (778 rebounds/29 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Arkansas State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (423 steals/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Louisiana-Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 7.4 steals per game (222 steals/30 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisiana-Monroe averaged 7.3 steals per game (219 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Louisiana-Monroe averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (698 rebounds/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Louisiana-Monroe averaged 7.3 steals per game (219 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.