Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

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  • Arkansas State is a -8.5 point favorite vs Louisiana
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Louisiana TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Lafayette, LA.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 70.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -13.99% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12% ROI

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.35 Units / -7.93% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -13.21% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/26 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Arkansas State has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (342 rebounds/26 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.7

Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,453 assists/ 1,102 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Arkansas State has averaged 79.9 points per game (7,833 points/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 62.9 points per game (1,635 points/26 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Louisiana has 15.4 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 20.9

Louisiana has averaged 1.15 points per shot (1,635 points/1,416 shots) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Louisiana has averaged 64.3 points per game (3,794 points/59 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.6

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (929 rebounds/35 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Arkansas State forced 9.7 turnovers per game (358 turnovers/37 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Arkansas State allowed 77.0 points per game (2,850 points/37 games) last season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas State allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/26 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Louisiana averaged 20.1 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/33 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Louisiana has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (178/489) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (156/575) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.