- Arkansas State is a -4.5 point favorite vs South Alabama
- Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
- Arkansas State / South Alabama TV channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Pensacola, FL, USA.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 134.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | -4.5 -115 | O 134.5 -110 | -220 |
| South Alabama | +4.5 -105 | U 134.5 -110 | +180 |
Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+17.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+11.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
South Alabama Basketball Best Bets Today:
- South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.13% ROI).
- 23-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 6.44% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -13.8% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.55 Units / 4.54% ROI
South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
South Alabama has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.05 Units / -21.07% ROI
- 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -27.27% ROI
- 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 18.81% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 78.3 points per game (2,426 points/31 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 71.9
Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:
South Alabama has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (454 assists/ 265 TOs) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2
South Alabama averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (211 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0
South Alabama has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (265 turnovers/31 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
South Alabama has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (591 turnovers/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.4
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (821 rebounds/31 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.8
Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (225 steals/31 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Arkansas State has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (821 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:
South Alabama has allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
South Alabama has allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.5
South Alabama has averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
South Alabama has averaged 8.1 steals per game (501 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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