- Arkansas State is a -8.5 point favorite vs Southern Miss
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- Arkansas State / Southern Miss TV channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Reed Green Coliseum to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Hattiesburg, MS, USA.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | -8.5 -105 | O 149.5 -105 | -375 |
| Southern Miss | +8.5 -115 | U 149.5 -115 | +290 |
Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games (+26.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Southern Miss Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 9.98% ROI).
- 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.5 Units / 14.2% ROI
- 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -23.69% ROI
- 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.15 Units / 14.29% ROI
Southern Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Southern Miss has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -6.73% ROI
- 7-11 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -24.04% ROI
- 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.71% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State made 9.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas State has averaged 78.5 points per game (1,648 points/21 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.2
Arkansas State has made 537 three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Miss had a TS% of 44% last season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%
Southern Miss averaged 69.6 points per game (2,087 points/30 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.0
Southern Miss has averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Southern Miss shot 46% from inside the arc (461/1,003) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (570 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (570 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (130/458) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%
Southern Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Miss has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Southern Miss has averaged 25.3 defensive rebounds per game (531 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Southern Miss allowed 70.6 points per game (2,119 points/30 games) last season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 73.8
Southern Miss allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,119 points/1,768 shots) last season — tied for 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
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