Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
  • Arkansas State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in San Marcos, TX, USA.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Arkansas State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State-5.5 -105O 148.5 -105-225
Texas State +5.5 -115U 148.5 -115+185

Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games (+26.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 13.82% ROI).

  • 17-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 14.52% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.33% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.15 Units / 17.93% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -12.84% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 19.55% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State made 9.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Arkansas State is shooting 42% (590/1,410) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Texas State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas State is shooting 47% (590/1,262) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 43%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (598 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (598 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Arkansas State has averaged 25.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,494 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (170/458) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 32%

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (1,585 points/1,247 shots) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.