- Arkansas State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Troy
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Arkansas State / Troy TV channel: ESPN2
The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Troy Trojans on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Pensacola, FL, USA.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Arkansas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | -1.5 -115 | O 139.5 -115 | -130 |
| Troy | +1.5 -105 | U 139.5 -105 | +105 |
Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+17.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+11.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 37 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.34 Units / 5% ROI)
Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 7.66% ROI).
- 24-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.55 Units / 6.83% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -10.53% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.45 Units / 1.28% ROI
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 19-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI).
- 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -17.77% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 8.51% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 78.3 points per game (2,426 points/31 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 71.9
Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy is shooting 30% from three (227/759) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8
Troy has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (406 assists/ 388 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Troy has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (380 rebounds/29 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.4
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (821 rebounds/31 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.8
Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (225 steals/31 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Arkansas State has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (821 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 10.1 steals per game (598 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Troy has averaged 9.7 steals per game (281 steals/29 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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