- Troy (19-12) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (13-19)
- Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (13-19) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Troy Trojans (19-12) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Pensacola.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Arkansas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 133.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | +8.5 -115 | O 133.5 -105 | +300 |
| Troy | -8.5 -105 | U 133.5 -115 | -375 |
Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 66.9% confidence.
Arkansas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas State and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.80 Units / 67% ROI)
Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has gone 13-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -13.86% ROI
- 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
- 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has gone 14-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 5.64% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,561 points/24 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Arkansas State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Arkansas State has an eFG% of 48% this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Arkansas State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,561 points/1,334 shots) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy is shooting 71% from the free throw line (315/442) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 69%
Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (311 turnovers/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Troy is shooting 32% from three (185/579) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Troy has a 31% free throw rate (442 free throw attempts/1,414 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 30%
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Arkansas State has 392 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (265 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams
Troy has averaged 8.5 steals per game (205 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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