- Auburn is a -5.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Auburn / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPN2
The Auburn Tigers visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Starkville, MS.
Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Auburn vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Auburn vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 55.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Auburn vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Auburn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 95% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Auburn has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.25 Units / -8.2% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
- 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 9-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.5 Units / -31.08% ROI).
- 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.01% ROI
- 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:
Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (509 assists/ 345 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Auburn averaged 17.9 assists per game (592 assists/33 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Auburn has 27.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 21.5
Auburn has a 46% free throw rate (693 free throw attempts/1,509 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 36%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 1.23 points per shot (1,934 points/1,572 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.36
Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (707/2,243) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%
Mississippi State is shooting 30% from three (340/1,123) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:
Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (530/1,406) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%
Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 39% (372/962) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%
Auburn allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7
Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (735/1,916) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (142 turnovers/17 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 10.8
Mississippi State has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (1,959 points/1,618 shots) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (188/618) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
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