Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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  • Bowling Green is a -2.5 point favorite vs Ball State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Ball State / Bowling Green TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals visit Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Bowling Green, OH, USA.

Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Ball State vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+2.5 -115O 148.5 -105+110
Bowling Green -2.5 -105U 148.5 -115-135

Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.64 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.18 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI).

  • 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -19.18% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4.05 Units / 14.75% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.59% ROI

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -12.39% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has 26.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.7

Ball State has a 49% free throw rate (725 free throw attempts/1,469 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has a 43% free throw rate (1,370 free throw attempts/3,146 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,305 points/3,146 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (318 assists/ 336 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (318 assists/ 336 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (309 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Ball State has forced 10.4 turnovers per game (280 turnovers/27 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.5

Ball State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (144 steals/27 games) this season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (866 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Bowling Green has averaged 7.6 steals per game (213 steals/28 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Bowling Green stole the ball 221 times last season — 4th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green averaged 6.5 steals per game (221 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.