- Ball State is a -2.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
- Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
- Ball State / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+
The Ball State Cardinals visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY, USA.
Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 153.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | -2.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | -150 |
| Buffalo | +2.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 | +125 |
Ball State vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Ball State vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Ball State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.19 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 29 games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Ball State has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -36.63% ROI
- 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.35 Units / 12.6% ROI
- 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.33% ROI
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.56% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5.53% ROI
- 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.23% ROI
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has 26.4 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4
Ball State has a 42% free throw rate (1,172 free throw attempts/2,766 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%
Ball State has attempted 527 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams
Ball State has a 48% free throw rate (527 free throw attempts/1,089 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/20 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Buffalo has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (729 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Buffalo is shooting 29% from three (364/1,250) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (103 steals/20 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (268 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Ball State has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9
Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4
Buffalo has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/20 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.1
Buffalo forced 10.2 turnovers per game (306 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4
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