- Toledo is a -8.5 point favorite vs Ball State
- Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
- Ball State / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+
The Ball State Cardinals visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo, OH, USA.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Ball State vs. Toledo Over/Under is 157.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +8.5 -115 | O 157.5 -105 | +290 |
| Toledo | -8.5 -105 | U 157.5 -115 | -375 |
Ball State vs Toledo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Ball State vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Ball State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.54 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+0.80 Units / 1% ROI)
Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Ball State has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -19.88% ROI
- 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.25 Units / 21.74% ROI
- 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.52% ROI
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.17% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has 27.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.7
Ball State has attempted 675 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams
Ball State has a 43% free throw rate (1,320 free throw attempts/3,051 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%
Ball State has a 49% free throw rate (675 free throw attempts/1,374 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Toledo has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (555 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo had a TS% of 49% last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 47%
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (129 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Ball State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (256 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.7
Ball State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (294 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Ball State has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game (230 steals/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Toledo has averaged 5.3 steals per game (127 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Toledo stole the ball 230 times last season — most among Mid-American Teams
Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
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