- Toledo is a -9.5 point favorite vs Ball State
- Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
- Ball State / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+
The Ball State Cardinals visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00 pm in Toledo, OH.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Ball State vs. Toledo Over/Under is 146.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +9.5 -115 | O 146.5 -105 | +340 |
| Toledo | -9.5 -105 | U 146.5 -115 | -450 |
Ball State vs Toledo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Ball State vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Ball State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+1.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Ball State has a 7-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5 Units / -25.45% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -36.85% ROI
- 6-12 when betting the Over for -7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 12-6 when betting the Under for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -3.04% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (761 free throw attempts/1,650 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%
Ball State has averaged 12.5 assists per game (238 assists/19 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 15.3
Ball State shot 77% from the free throw line (495/645) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%
Ball State has averaged 67.5 points per game (1,283 points/19 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 80.5
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (512 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Toledo has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (841 turnovers/83 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Toledo had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has allowed 70.1 points per game (1,331 points/19 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 76.5
Ball State forced 10.3 turnovers per game (308 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.4
Ball State allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (2,132 points/1,763 shots) last season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
Ball State averaged 5.1 steals per game (153 steals/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,426/5,030) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,426/5,030) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%
Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 44%
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