Ball State vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2023, 2:52 PM
  • Ball State (19-7) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan (6-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Ball State Cardinals (19-7) visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (6-20) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Kalamazoo.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Ball State vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State-7.5 -110O 145.5 -110-350
Western Michigan +7.5 -110U 145.5 -110+280

Ball State vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ball State will win this game with 66.6% confidence.

Ball State vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and Western Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+14.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has gone 14-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 19.2% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.39% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has gone 7-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 3-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -65.42% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.68% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 45% free throw rate (547 free throw attempts/1,205 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has 24.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Ball State has attempted 547 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has 16.1 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Western Michigan has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,584 points/3,027 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Western Michigan has averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,557 points/1,291 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Western Michigan has averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (277 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (137 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ball State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (325 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Ball State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Ball State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,291 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 4.6 steals per game (101 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Western Michigan has averaged 5.0 steals per game (266 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Western Michigan has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (540 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Western Michigan has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.