Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

• Cincinnati is a -3.5 point favorite vs Baylor
• Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
• Baylor / Cincinnati TV channel: FS1

The Baylor Bears visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-118).

The Baylor vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 63.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.

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Baylor Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+1.20 Units / 0% ROI)

Cincinnati Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 7-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI).

• 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.02% ROI
• 12-6 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
• 6-12 when betting the Under for -7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 8-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).

• 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -78.75 Units / -4.45% ROI
• 5-15 when betting the Over for -11.5 Units / -52.27% ROI
• 15-5 when betting the Under for +9.5 Units / 43.18% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 51% (466/912) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati is shooting 66% from the free throw line (574/867) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Cincinnati has averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,380 points/1,159 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.34

Cincinnati is shooting 30% from three (160/525) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Cincinnati is shooting 66% from the free throw line (248/377) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (923 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (5,993 points/5,104 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Cincinnati allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (112/354) in the first half last season — 3rd best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Cincinnati has allowed 67.3 points per game (5,993 points/89 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.0

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