Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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  • Iowa State is a -14.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Baylor / Iowa State TV channel: ESPN

The Baylor Bears visit James H. Hilton Coliseum to take on the Iowa State Cyclones on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Ames, IA.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Baylor vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+14.5 -105O 151.5 -110+800
Iowa State -14.5 -115U 151.5 -110-1400

Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 78.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 63.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games at home (+10.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+9.25 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.86% ROI).

  • 16-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.8 Units / 1.57% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 39% from three (38/97) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State is shooting 41% from three (204/495) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa St. made 1.4 three-pointers per game in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — tied for lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.8

Iowa State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (408 assists/ 234 TOs) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% (9/34) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State forced 17.2 turnovers per game (636 turnovers/37 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three off the dribble (8/38) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 29%

Iowa State has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (1,517 turnovers/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.