- Mississippi State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Baylor
- Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
- Baylor / Mississippi State TV channel: CBS
The Baylor Bears visit Lenovo Center to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 12:15pm EDT in Raleigh, NC, USA.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Baylor vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.
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Baylor vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Baylor | +1.5 -115 | O 144.5 -110 | +100 |
| Mississippi State | -1.5 -105 | U 144.5 -110 | -120 |
Baylor vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Baylor vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Baylor Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+0.90 Units / 0% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Baylor has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.8 Units / -16.43% ROI).
- 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -10.13% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 15-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.7 Units / -12.95% ROI).
- 21-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.06% ROI
- 21-12 when betting the Over for +7.75 Units / 21.35% ROI
- 12-21 when betting the Under for -11.15 Units / -30.72% ROI
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28
Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Baylor had an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 54%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (936/1,360) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (435 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.1
Mississippi State shot 32% from three (227/713) last season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State has averaged 79.8 points per game (2,632 points/33 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% on catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (304 steals/33 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (560 steals/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8
Mississippi State has allowed 9.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (304/842) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
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