Baylor vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2023, 2:29 PM
  • TCU (17-7) are -1.5 point favorites vs Baylor (18-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Baylor Bears (18-6) visit Schollmaier Arena to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (17-7) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Fort Worth.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Baylor vs. TCU Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+1.5 -120O 149.5 -115-105
TCU -1.5 +100U 149.5 -105-115

Baylor vs TCU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 52.7% confidence.

Baylor vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and TCU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 39 games (+20.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+17.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 48 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has gone 12-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.4% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -12.33% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 13-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 11.64% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Baylor has attempted 569 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor is shooting 56% (14/25) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Baylor has attempted 300 threes in the first half this season — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU is shooting 63% (206/328) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

TCU has averaged 16.7 points per game (184 points/11 games) in transition this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (728 points/644 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.