Baylor vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
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  • UCF is a -2.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Baylor / UCF TV channel: FS1

The Baylor Bears visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Baylor vs. UCF Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+2.5 -115O 159.5 -110+115
UCF -2.5 -105U 159.5 -110-140

Baylor vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 58.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor had an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 54%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 392 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UCF had an eFG% of 48% last season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF had 21.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UCF stole the ball 275 times last season — 9th most among Power Conference teams

UCF averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (800 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UCF has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (1,231 turnovers/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7


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