Belmont vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • Belmont is a -2.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Belmont / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Belmont Bruins visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield, MO, MO, USA.

Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Belmont vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Belmont vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Belmont-2.5 -110O 146.5 -105-135
Missouri State +2.5 -110U 146.5 -115+110

Belmont vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 79.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Belmont vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.17 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.45 Units / -17.72% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 8.54% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Over for +9.1 Units / 29.55% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Under for -11.9 Units / -38.64% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.07% ROI).

  • 7-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -43.94% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (504 assists/ 317 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Belmont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (504 assists/ 317 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Belmont averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (223 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Belmont has averaged 17.4 assists per game (504 assists/29 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 397 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (363/557) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 68.8 points per game (1,996 points/29 games) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (837 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Belmont has averaged 6.9 steals per game (200 steals/29 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Belmont has allowed 9.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Belmont averaged 7.3 steals per game (227 steals/31 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Missouri State has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (380 turnovers/29 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Missouri State forced 9.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.