Belmont vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Murray State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Belmont
  • Total (Over/Under): 167.5 points
  • Belmont / Murray State TV channel: ESPN2

The Belmont Bruins visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Belmont vs. Murray State Over/Under is 167.5 total points.

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Belmont vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Belmont vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Belmont vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 6.82% ROI).

  • 22-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 9.38% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 6.83% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont is shooting 40% from three (285/711) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has an eFG% of 61% this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Belmont is shooting 52% (811/1,571) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Belmont has a TS% of 54% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has attempted 1,646 shots this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 84.9 points per game (2,291 points/27 games) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.1

Murray State is shooting 47% (775/1,646) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (661/1,649) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%

Belmont has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Belmont has allowed 10.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Belmont has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (741 rebounds/27 games) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Murray State has allowed 79.2 points per game (2,139 points/27 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (792/1,706) this season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.