- Belmont is a -4.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Belmont / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Belmont Bruins visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Valparaiso, IN.
Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Belmont vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Belmont vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Belmont vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 64.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Belmont vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Belmont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Belmont have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Belmont has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.15 Units / 0.68% ROI).
- 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 7.17% ROI
- 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -11.55% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Belmont has a TS% of 53% this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Belmont has an eFG% of 60% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Belmont has averaged 1.42 points per shot (1,732 points/1,224 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Belmont averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (223 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Belmont has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (495/1,291) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Belmont has allowed 10.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Belmont has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,925 points/3,227 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Belmont has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (495/1,291) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Valparaiso has allowed 69.7 points per game (1,394 points/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.3
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Valparaiso has allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
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