Boise State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
  • Boise State is a -15.5 point favorite vs Air Force
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Boise State / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Boise State Broncos visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO, USA.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-15.5 -110O 135.5 -105-1600
Air Force +15.5 -110U 135.5 -115+875

Boise State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.18 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.43% ROI).

  • 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 1.12% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.85% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.56% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 9-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12 Units / -38.84% ROI).

  • 3-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.6 Units / -78.66% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State made 7.7 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Boise State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (2,203 points/1,608 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Boise State averaged 1.30 points per shot (2,242 points/1,726 shots) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Boise State has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 62.7 points per game (1,819 points/29 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Air Force has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (225 rebounds/29 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 10.1

Air Force averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

Air Force averaged 65.6 points per game (1,903 points/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Boise State has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Boise State allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (1,916 points/1,616 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,265 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (4,204 points/3,112 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.