Boise State vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 12:10 PM
  • Utah State (23-7) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Boise State (23-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on MW Network

The Boise State Broncos (23-7) visit Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to take on the Utah State Aggies (23-7) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Logan.

Utah State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Boise State vs. Utah State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State+4.5 -105O 141.5 -115+170
Utah State -4.5 -115U 141.5 -105-210

Boise State vs Utah State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 61.5% confidence.

Boise State vs Utah State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise State and Utah State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 50 games (+27.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+8.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has gone 15-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 11.49% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -10.97% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.47% ROI).

  • 22-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -6.72% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 40% (145/362) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Boise State is shooting 61% (240/394) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 58%

Boise State has a TS% of 46% in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 50%

Boise State has averaged 1.15 points per shot (347 points/303 shots) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.09

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State is shooting 41% from three (228/549) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Utah State has made 6.1 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 5.1

Utah State is shooting 41% from three (228/549) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State has made 103 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,396 points/1,302 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Boise State has allowed 60.7 points per game (1,396 points/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,396 points/1,302 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Boise State has allowed 60.7 points per game (1,396 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (622 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Utah State has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,634 points/1,365 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Utah State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (174/464) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (260 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.