Boston College vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:09 AM
  • Virginia (15-3) are -14.5 point favorites vs Boston College (10-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 122.5 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network Extra

The Boston College Eagles (10-11) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (15-3) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Charlottesville.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Boston College vs. Virginia Over/Under is 122.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boston College+14.5 -115122.5 -110+700
Virginia -14.5 -105122.5 -110-1100

Boston College vs Virginia Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 75.1% confidence.

Boston College vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+3.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Boston College Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boston College has gone 10-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has gone 7-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.1 Units / -25.82% ROI).

  • 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 11.3% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Boston College has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Boston College has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,393 points/1,203 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Boston College is shooting 30% from three (170/570) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (292 assists/ 163 TOs) this season — best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (292 assists/ 163 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (292 assists/ 163 TOs) this season — best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (292 assists/ 163 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has averaged 6.8 steals per game (143 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Boston College has 143 steals this season — 4th most among ACC Teams

Boston College has 381 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among ACC Teams

Boston College has averaged 7.0 steals per game (161 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,245 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 25.8

Virginia has averaged 6.8 steals per game (122 steals/18 games) this season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Virginia has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,245 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 25.8

Virginia has averaged 6.8 steals per game (122 steals/18 games) this season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.