- Arkansas State is a -2.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Bowling Green / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+
The Bowling Green Falcons visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00 pm in Jonesboro, AR.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | +2.5 -110 | O 154.5 -110 | +118 |
| Arkansas State | -2.5 -110 | U 154.5 -110 | -145 |
Bowling Green vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 59.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Bowling Green vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Bowling Green Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Bowling Green has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.12% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -3.02% ROI
- 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
- 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.35% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -18.67% ROI
- 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:
Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Bowling Green averaged 11.2 assists per game (380 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Bowling Green has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,856 points/1,350 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Bowling Green has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,856 points/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 79.9
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,383 assists/ 1,063 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (317 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.1
Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:
Bowling Green has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 13.0
Bowling Green has averaged 10.7 steals per game (235 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Bowling Green has 235 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams
Bowling Green allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (254/700) last season — 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (929 rebounds/35 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.9
Arkansas State allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1
Arkansas State allowed 77.0 points per game (2,850 points/37 games) last season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Arkansas State has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.3
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