Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

(AP Photo)
  • Bowling Green is a -3.5 point favorite vs Northern Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Bowling Green / Northern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons visit NIU Convocation Center to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in DeKalb, IL, USA.

Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green-3.5 -115O 142.5 -110-185
Northern Illinois +3.5 -105U 142.5 -110+150

Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.18 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.47 Units / 11% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -5.03% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -9.63% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Northern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Illinois has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.85 Units / -78.83% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Over for -7.65 Units / -26.7% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 17.51% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has averaged 11.3 assists per game (328 assists/29 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (328 assists/ 344 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Bowling Green shot 43% (882/2,043) last season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois is shooting 41% (690/1,662) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Illinois had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (312 assists/ 366 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (661 assists/ 674 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (201 rebounds/28 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 10.3

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green stole the ball 221 times last season — 4th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (866 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Bowling Green has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (711 rebounds/29 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Bowling Green averaged 6.5 steals per game (221 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois averaged 5.2 steals per game (157 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Northern Illinois averaged 5.2 steals per game (157 steals/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northern Illinois averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (730 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Northern Illinois has averaged 6.0 steals per game (167 steals/28 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.