Bowling Green vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 3

Massachusetts head coach Frank Martin is seen on the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Saint Louis Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • Bowling Green is a -3.5 point favorite vs UMass
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Bowling Green / UMass TV channel: ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons visit Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Amherst, MA.

Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Bowling Green vs. UMass Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green-3.5 -105O 152.5 -115-160
UMass +3.5 -115U 152.5 -105135

Bowling Green vs UMass Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bowling Green vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+10.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+6.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Massachusetts have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 4.3% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has forced 19.2 turnovers per game (250 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 13.6

Bowling Green has forced 19.2 turnovers per game (250 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Bowling Green has 169 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green has averaged 13.0 steals per game (169 steals/13 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (956 assists/ 927 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Bowling Green averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (730 free throw attempts/2,043 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Bowling Green has a 39% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/825 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 35%

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has forced 19.2 turnovers per game (250 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 13.6

Bowling Green has forced 19.2 turnovers per game (250 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Bowling Green has 169 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green has averaged 13.0 steals per game (169 steals/13 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (956 assists/ 927 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Bowling Green averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (730 free throw attempts/2,043 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Bowling Green has a 39% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/825 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.