Buffalo vs Akron Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

(AP Photo)
  • Akron is a -19.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Buffalo / Akron TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls visit James A. Rhodes Arena to take on the Akron Zips on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Akron, OH, USA.

Akron is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-105).

The Buffalo vs. Akron Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Akron Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+19.5 -115O 161.5 -115+1200
Akron -19.5 -105U 161.5 -105-3000

Buffalo vs Akron Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Akron will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Akron Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 away games (+11.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Moneyline in their last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.22 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -14.63% ROI).

  • 7-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -18.15% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

Akron Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Akron has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units / 12.48% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +5.95 Units / 19.29% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -28.29% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 14.7 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/30 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (870 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends:

Akron has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (526 assists/ 361 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Akron has averaged 18.1 assists per game (526 assists/29 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Akron has a 26% free throw rate (474 free throw attempts/1,862 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Akron has 526 assists this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo has averaged 25.3 defensive rebounds per game (760 rebounds/30 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Buffalo forced 10.2 turnovers per game (306 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends:

Akron has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (793 rebounds/29 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Akron allowed 66.0 points per game (2,243 points/34 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Akron averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (856 rebounds/34 games) last season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Akron averaged 5.6 steals per game (189 steals/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.