Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
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  • Buffalo is a -1.5 point favorite vs Ball State
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Buffalo / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Muncie, IN.

Buffalo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Buffalo vs. Ball State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+17.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+14.50 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.05 Units / 12.58% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.5 Units / 43.72% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.25 Units / -27.17% ROI).

  • 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -34.84% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Over for -10.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Under for +8.4 Units / 36.36% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Buffalo is shooting 39% from three (247/634) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (761 free throw attempts/1,650 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 66.5 points per game (1,463 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 79.5

Ball State has averaged 11.9 assists per game (262 assists/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 15.1

Ball State is shooting 30% from three (145/490) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Buffalo has allowed 79.9 points per game (6,789 points/85 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 74.5

Buffalo forced 10.2 turnovers per game (306 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has allowed 70.4 points per game (1,549 points/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 76.2

Ball State has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (480 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Ball State forced 10.3 turnovers per game (308 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.4

Ball State averaged 5.1 steals per game (153 steals/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.