- Ball State is a -9.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Buffalo / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+
The Buffalo Bulls visit John E. Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Muncie, IN, USA.
Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Buffalo vs. Ball State Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | +9.5 -105 | O 151.5 -110 | +375 |
| Ball State | -9.5 -115 | U 151.5 -110 | -500 |
Buffalo vs Ball State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Buffalo vs Ball State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Ball State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.69 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -16.32% ROI).
- 6-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.56% ROI
Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Ball State has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -21.8% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.15 Units / 16.44% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.25% ROI
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (813 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Buffalo has averaged 14.7 turnovers per game (383 turnovers/26 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.8
Ball State has attempted 692 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams
Ball State has a 49% free throw rate (692 free throw attempts/1,421 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%
Ball State has a 43% free throw rate (1,337 free throw attempts/3,098 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (670 rebounds/26 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.0
Buffalo has allowed 81.1 points per game (2,109 points/26 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 75.1
Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9
Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Ball State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (264 turnovers/26 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.6
Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (300 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Ball State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (135 steals/26 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1
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