Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

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  • Miami (OH) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Buffalo / Miami (OH) TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls visit John D. Millett Hall to take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Oxford, OH.

Miami (OH) is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (+100).

The Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+12.5 -120O 149.5 -105+575
Miami (OH) -12.5 +100U 149.5 -115-900

Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 16 away games (+5.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.11 Units / 3% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 14.61% ROI).

  • 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -3.57% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 13.51% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.85% ROI

Miami (OH) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (OH) has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 7.88% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.55 Units / 14.03% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.74% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo is shooting 28% from three (289/1,017) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has a TS% of 55% this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Miami (OH) averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (229 rebounds/32 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Miami (OH) has 12.7 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.8

Miami (OH) has a 20% free throw rate (152 free throw attempts/752 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 31%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has allowed 81.1 points per game (973 points/12 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.5

Buffalo has averaged 6.7 steals per game (80 steals/12 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Miami (OH) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has averaged 10.0 steals per game (120 steals/12 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Miami (OH) has 120 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Miami (OH) has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/12 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.3

Miami (OH) averaged 6.3 steals per game (201 steals/32 games) last season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.