Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

(AP Photo)
  • Northern Illinois is a -2.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Buffalo / Northern Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls visit NIU Convocation Center to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in DeKalb, IL, USA.

Northern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+2.5 -115O 152.5 -110+115
Northern Illinois -2.5 -105U 152.5 -110-140

Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this college basketball game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 away games (+7.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.52 Units / 26% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -13.45% ROI).

  • 5-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -17.79% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.43% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.13% ROI

Northern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Illinois has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI).

  • 2-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -72.14% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.25 Units / -23.81% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.58% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (765 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Buffalo is shooting 28% from three (384/1,348) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (335 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (312 assists/ 366 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois averaged 10.4 assists per game (312 assists/30 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Northern Illinois had 21.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.8

Northern Illinois is shooting 41% (566/1,369) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (598 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Buffalo allowed opponents to shoot 47% (884/1,866) last season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Buffalo has allowed 81.8 points per game (1,882 points/23 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 74.4

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois averaged 5.2 steals per game (157 steals/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northern Illinois averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (730 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Northern Illinois has averaged 6.4 steals per game (147 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Northern Illinois averaged 5.2 steals per game (157 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.