Buffalo vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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  • South Alabama is a -2.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Buffalo / South Alabama TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls visit Mitchell Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Mobile, AL.

South Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-118).

The Buffalo vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Buffalo vs South Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this college basketball game with 60.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 away games (+18.10 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+16.15 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.15 Units / 17.93% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.5 Units / 47.9% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / -9.03% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 5.88% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -13.42% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.76% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (211 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

South Alabama had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (461 assists/ 276 TOs) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2

South Alabama has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (182 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.1

South Alabama has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (706 assists/ 458 TOs) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo allowed opponents to shoot 47% (884/1,866) last season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo has allowed 78.4 points per game (1,804 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Buffalo has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,804 points/1,389 shots) this season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.29

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (506/1,356) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

South Alabama has allowed 12.3 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 8.0

South Alabama allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,208/3,178) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.