- Toledo is a -13.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
- Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
- Buffalo / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+
The Buffalo Bulls visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo, OH, USA.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Buffalo vs. Toledo Over/Under is 164.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | +13.5 -105 | O 164.5 -105 | +700 |
| Toledo | -13.5 -115 | U 164.5 -115 | -1100 |
Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Buffalo vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 away games (+9.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.59% ROI).
- 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 10% ROI
- 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.71% ROI
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.92% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo is shooting 29% from three (372/1,289) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (740 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (196 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Toledo had a TS% of 49% last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 47%
Toledo is shooting 47% (1,494/3,149) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4
Buffalo has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (545 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.1
Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9
Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 5.4 steals per game (108 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Toledo averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (733 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9
Toledo has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (494 rebounds/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.1
Toledo averaged 7.2 steals per game (230 steals/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1
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