Butler vs Providence Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

Providence head coach Kim English reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2024, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
  • Butler is a -1.5 point favorite vs Providence
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Butler / Providence TV channel: PEAC

The Butler Bulldogs visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Providence Friars on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in New York, NY, USA.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Butler vs. Providence Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Butler vs. Providence Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Butler-1.5 -110O 147.5 -110-125
Providence +1.5 -110U 147.5 -110+105

Butler vs Providence Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Butler vs Providence Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.03 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.91 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 35 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -10.18% ROI).

  • 13-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.65 Units / -20.28% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.23% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.9 Units / -29.03% ROI

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -7.77% ROI).

  • 13-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.11% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 4.82% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -13.38% ROI

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler averaged 26% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (492 free throw attempts/1,881 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Butler is shooting 38% from three (276/718) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,114 points/884 shots) in the first half this season — tied for best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence is shooting 36% from three (289/799) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Providence has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (401 assists/ 394 TOs) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Providence has averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (817 turnovers/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Providence has averaged 33.3 points per game (1,032 points/31 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34.8

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has forced 7.5 turnovers per game (234 turnovers/31 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Butler has averaged 3.8 steals per game (119 steals/31 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Butler has averaged 3.8 steals per game (119 steals/31 games) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Butler has forced 7.2 turnovers per game (180 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 5.0 steals per game (155 steals/31 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Providence has averaged 5.0 steals per game (155 steals/31 games) this season — 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Providence averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (941 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Providence has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,739 rebounds/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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