Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 5

No 2 UC Davis player shooting for the net while Long Beach State player is defending
(AP Photo)
  • UC Davis is a -2.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Cal Poly / UC Davis TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs visit University Credit Union Center to take on the UC Davis Aggies on Dec. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Davis, CA.

UC Davis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal Poly+2.5 -110O 157.5 -105+115
UC Davis -2.5 -110U 157.5 -115-140

Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Davis will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal Poly vs UC Davis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UC Davis have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UC Davis have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 6-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 95.72% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

UC Davis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Davis has a 3-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 55.35% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly shot 44% from inside the arc (431/985) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.6

Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Cal Poly had an eFG% of 45% last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%

UC Davis Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis averaged 72.1 points per game (2,236 points/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.6

UC Davis had an eFG% of 51% last season — 5th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%

UC Davis made 7.1 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.5

UC Davis made 221 three-pointers last season — 4th most among Big West Teams

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Cal Poly averaged 5.4 steals per game (161 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Cal Poly averaged 5.4 steals per game (161 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UC Davis Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (675 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UC Davis stole the ball 248 times last season — 2nd most among Big West Teams

UC Davis averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (675 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC Davis allowed 5.4 made three-pointers per game last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.