Cal State Northridge vs UC Davis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 11:42 AM
  • UC Davis (14-11) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Cal State Northridge (6-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Cal State Northridge Matadors (6-19) visit University Credit Union Center to take on the UC Davis Aggies (14-11) on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Davis.

UC Davis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Cal State Northridge vs. UC Davis Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Cal State Northridge vs. UC Davis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal State Northridge+11.5 -110O 136.5 -110+450
UC Davis -11.5 -110U 136.5 -110-650

Cal State Northridge vs UC Davis Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UC Davis will win this game with 72.0% confidence.

Cal State Northridge vs UC Davis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cal State Northridge will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Cal State Northridge and UC Davis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Cal State Northridge has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cal State Northridge has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cal State Northridge has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Cal State Northridge have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Cal State Northridge Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal State Northridge has gone 9-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -25.35% ROI).

  • 4-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -34.02% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.45 Units / -25.44% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.24% ROI

UC Davis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Davis has gone 10-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.35 Units / -17.16% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.89% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.25 Units / -16.83% ROI

Cal State Northridge Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Northridge is shooting 45% from inside the arc (774/1,728) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%

Cal State Northridge has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Cal State Northridge has averaged 1.11 points per shot (3,240 points/2,926 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Cal State Northridge has a TS% of 42% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 46%

UC Davis Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has averaged 14.7 turnovers per game (338 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UC Davis has a 42% free throw rate (551 free throw attempts/1,303 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 32%

UC Davis has attempted 551 free throws this season — most among Big West Teams

UC Davis has 24.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Cal State Northridge Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Northridge has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (488 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal State Northridge has averaged 7.0 steals per game (154 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Cal State Northridge has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,114 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Cal State Northridge has 370 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Big West Teams

UC Davis Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (556 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

UC Davis has 157 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among Big West Teams

UC Davis has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,131 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC Davis has averaged 6.8 steals per game (157 steals/23 games) this season — 5th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.